Diesel Vehicles’ Future on UK Roads Uncertain Amidst EV Rise
Diesel vehicles could soon become a rarity on UK roads, as drivers increasingly favor electric alternatives. Recent research indicates a substantial upswing in electric van interest, with leasing inquiries surging by 35.3% in 2024 alone, signaling a possible shift in the automotive landscape.

Confused.com’s latest study highlights this trend, revealing that electric vehicles are anticipated to capture over 35% of the leasing market by the close of 2025. The survey of UK small business owners revealed a significant shift towards electric vans among this demographic. A notable 90% of surveyed small business van owners indicated they would consider an electric vehicle when the time comes to replace their current van.
Key drivers behind this shift include environmental and financial incentives. Around 31% of respondents cited emission reduction as their primary motivation for switching to electric vans. Moreover, 27% were drawn to the lower running costs associated with electric vehicles, particularly considering the fluctuating fuel prices.
Jakob Pfaudler, the AA chief executive, commented on the wider implications, stating, “Our message to the Government is that more needs to be done to make EVs accessible for everyone. Generally drivers are hesitant but most are not hostile to the change.”
He added, “Our research shows many people are confused by the transition which is not surprising as the main catalyst for change, the Zev mandate, only governs supply but does little to encourage demand for EVs.”
“The ambitious goal of the climate change committee that 80 per cent of cars and 74 per cent of vans should be electric by 2040 shows how much needs to be done to get there.”
In February, pure battery electrics held a 25% share of the new car market. However, DVLA figures indicate that as of June 2024, only 5% of licensed cars in the UK were either pure electric or plug-in hybrids.
A Department for Transport spokesman addressed governmental commitments, saying, “We’re investing over £2.3 billion to help industry and consumers make a supported switch to EVs.”
This includes initiatives like installing public charge points every 28 minutes, maintaining EV incentives in the company car tax system until 2030, and extending 100% first-year allowances for zero-emission cars for another year.
The spokesman also highlighted the increasing affordability of second-hand EVs, with one in three available under £20,000 and 21 new models priced below £30,000.